TRADING SYSTEM
Autonomes Research- und Trading-System
Übersicht
Lernen
Daten
Forschung
System
RESEARCH MODE
ECHTGELD: AUS
–
Letzter Lauf: wird geladen
Echte Research-Daten werden gelesen …
{"activity": [{"at": "2026-08-20T23:30:23Z", "details": {"attempted_at": "2026-08-20T23:30:23Z", "error": null, "records_inserted": 0, "records_seen": 635, "source": "ethereum_blog", "status": "ok"}, "state": "neutral", "text": "Ethereum Foundation gepr\u00fcft \u2013 keine neuen Duplikate gespeichert."}, {"at": "2026-08-20T23:30:23Z", "details": {"attempted_at": "2026-08-20T23:30:23Z", "error": null, "records_inserted": 0, "records_seen": 20, "source": "solana_blog", "status": "ok"}, "state": "neutral", "text": "Solana gepr\u00fcft \u2013 keine neuen Duplikate gespeichert."}, {"at": "2026-08-20T23:30:22Z", "details": {"attempted_at": "2026-08-20T23:30:22Z", "error": null, "records_inserted": 0, "records_seen": 1, "source": "fear_greed", "status": "ok"}, "state": "neutral", "text": "Fear \u0026 Greed gepr\u00fcft \u2013 keine neuen Duplikate gespeichert."}, {"at": "2026-08-20T23:30:22Z", "details": {"attempted_at": "2026-08-20T23:30:22Z", "error": null, "records_inserted": 7, "records_seen": 7, "source": "defillama", "status": "ok"}, "state": "healthy", "text": "DefiLlama: 7 neue Beobachtungen gespeichert."}, {"at": "2026-08-20T23:30:22Z", "details": {"attempted_at": "2026-08-20T23:30:22Z", "error": null, "records_inserted": 0, "records_seen": 20, "source": "federal_reserve", "status": "ok"}, "state": "neutral", "text": "Federal Reserve gepr\u00fcft \u2013 keine neuen Duplikate gespeichert."}, {"at": "2026-08-20T23:16:12Z", "details": {"attempted_at": "2026-08-20T23:16:12Z", "error": null, "records_inserted": 0, "records_seen": 635, "source": "ethereum_blog", "status": "ok"}, "state": "neutral", "text": "Ethereum Foundation gepr\u00fcft \u2013 keine neuen Duplikate gespeichert."}, {"at": "2026-08-20T23:16:12Z", "details": {"attempted_at": "2026-08-20T23:16:12Z", "error": null, "records_inserted": 0, "records_seen": 20, "source": "solana_blog", "status": "ok"}, "state": "neutral", "text": "Solana gepr\u00fcft \u2013 keine neuen Duplikate gespeichert."}, {"at": "2026-08-20T23:16:11Z", "details": {"attempted_at": "2026-08-20T23:16:11Z", "error": null, "records_inserted": 0, "records_seen": 1, "source": "fear_greed", "status": "ok"}, "state": "neutral", "text": "Fear \u0026 Greed gepr\u00fcft \u2013 keine neuen Duplikate gespeichert."}, {"at": "2026-08-20T23:16:11Z", "details": {"attempted_at": "2026-08-20T23:16:11Z", "error": null, "records_inserted": 7, "records_seen": 7, "source": "defillama", "status": "ok"}, "state": "healthy", "text": "DefiLlama: 7 neue Beobachtungen gespeichert."}, {"at": "2026-08-20T23:16:11Z", "details": {"attempted_at": "2026-08-20T23:16:11Z", "error": null, "records_inserted": 0, "records_seen": 20, "source": "federal_reserve", "status": "ok"}, "state": "neutral", "text": "Federal Reserve gepr\u00fcft \u2013 keine neuen Duplikate gespeichert."}, {"at": "2026-08-20T23:00:16Z", "details": {"attempted_at": "2026-08-20T23:00:16Z", "error": null, "records_inserted": 0, "records_seen": 20, "source": "federal_reserve", "status": "ok"}, "state": "neutral", "text": "Federal Reserve gepr\u00fcft \u2013 keine neuen Duplikate gespeichert."}, {"at": "2026-08-20T23:00:16Z", "details": {"attempted_at": "2026-08-20T23:00:16Z", "error": null, "records_inserted": 0, "records_seen": 635, "source": "ethereum_blog", "status": "ok"}, "state": "neutral", "text": "Ethereum Foundation gepr\u00fcft \u2013 keine neuen Duplikate gespeichert."}, {"at": "2026-08-20T23:00:16Z", "details": {"attempted_at": "2026-08-20T23:00:16Z", "error": null, "records_inserted": 0, "records_seen": 20, "source": "solana_blog", "status": "ok"}, "state": "neutral", "text": "Solana gepr\u00fcft \u2013 keine neuen Duplikate gespeichert."}, {"at": "2026-08-20T23:00:15Z", "details": {"attempted_at": "2026-08-20T23:00:15Z", "error": null, "records_inserted": 0, "records_seen": 1, "source": "fear_greed", "status": "ok"}, "state": "neutral", "text": "Fear \u0026 Greed gepr\u00fcft \u2013 keine neuen Duplikate gespeichert."}, {"at": "2026-08-20T23:00:15Z", "details": {"attempted_at": "2026-08-20T23:00:15Z", "error": null, "records_inserted": 7, "records_seen": 7, "source": "defillama", "status": "ok"}, "state": "healthy", "text": "DefiLlama: 7 neue Beobachtungen gespeichert."}, {"at": "2026-08-20T22:45:23Z", "details": {"attempted_at": "2026-08-20T22:45:23Z", "error": null, "records_inserted": 0, "records_seen": 635, "source": "ethereum_blog", "status": "ok"}, "state": "neutral", "text": "Ethereum Foundation gepr\u00fcft \u2013 keine neuen Duplikate gespeichert."}, {"at": "2026-08-20T22:45:23Z", "details": {"attempted_at": "2026-08-20T22:45:23Z", "error": null, "records_inserted": 0, "records_seen": 20, "source": "solana_blog", "status": "ok"}, "state": "neutral", "text": "Solana gepr\u00fcft \u2013 keine neuen Duplikate gespeichert."}, {"at": "2026-08-20T22:45:22Z", "details": {"attempted_at": "2026-08-20T22:45:22Z", "error": null, "records_inserted": 0, "records_seen": 1, "source": "fear_greed", "status": "ok"}, "state": "neutral", "text": "Fear \u0026 Greed gepr\u00fcft \u2013 keine neuen Duplikate gespeichert."}, {"at": "2026-08-20T22:45:22Z", "details": {"attempted_at": "2026-08-20T22:45:22Z", "error": null, "records_inserted": 7, "records_seen": 7, "source": "defillama", "status": "ok"}, "state": "healthy", "text": "DefiLlama: 7 neue Beobachtungen gespeichert."}, {"at": "2026-08-20T22:45:22Z", "details": {"attempted_at": "2026-08-20T22:45:22Z", "error": null, "records_inserted": 0, "records_seen": 20, "source": "federal_reserve", "status": "ok"}, "state": "neutral", "text": "Federal Reserve gepr\u00fcft \u2013 keine neuen Duplikate gespeichert."}, {"at": "2026-08-20T22:30:16Z", "details": {"attempted_at": "2026-08-20T22:30:16Z", "error": null, "records_inserted": 0, "records_seen": 20, "source": "federal_reserve", "status": "ok"}, "state": "neutral", "text": "Federal Reserve gepr\u00fcft \u2013 keine neuen Duplikate gespeichert."}, {"at": "2026-08-20T22:30:16Z", "details": {"attempted_at": "2026-08-20T22:30:16Z", "error": null, "records_inserted": 0, "records_seen": 635, "source": "ethereum_blog", "status": "ok"}, "state": "neutral", "text": "Ethereum Foundation gepr\u00fcft \u2013 keine neuen Duplikate gespeichert."}, {"at": "2026-08-20T22:30:16Z", "details": {"attempted_at": "2026-08-20T22:30:16Z", "error": null, "records_inserted": 0, "records_seen": 20, "source": "solana_blog", "status": "ok"}, "state": "neutral", "text": "Solana gepr\u00fcft \u2013 keine neuen Duplikate gespeichert."}, {"at": "2026-08-20T22:30:15Z", "details": {"attempted_at": "2026-08-20T22:30:15Z", "error": null, "records_inserted": 0, "records_seen": 1, "source": "fear_greed", "status": "ok"}, "state": "neutral", "text": "Fear \u0026 Greed gepr\u00fcft \u2013 keine neuen Duplikate gespeichert."}, {"at": "2026-08-20T22:30:15Z", "details": {"attempted_at": "2026-08-20T22:30:15Z", "error": null, "records_inserted": 7, "records_seen": 7, "source": "defillama", "status": "ok"}, "state": "healthy", "text": "DefiLlama: 7 neue Beobachtungen gespeichert."}, {"at": "2026-08-20T22:19:53Z", "details": {"attempted_at": "2026-08-20T22:19:53Z", "error": null, "records_inserted": 0, "records_seen": 20, "source": "solana_blog", "status": "ok"}, "state": "neutral", "text": "Solana gepr\u00fcft \u2013 keine neuen Duplikate gespeichert."}, {"at": "2026-08-20T22:19:52Z", "details": {"attempted_at": "2026-08-20T22:19:52Z", "error": null, "records_inserted": 0, "records_seen": 1, "source": "fear_greed", "status": "ok"}, "state": "neutral", "text": "Fear \u0026 Greed gepr\u00fcft \u2013 keine neuen Duplikate gespeichert."}, {"at": "2026-08-20T22:19:52Z", "details": {"attempted_at": "2026-08-20T22:19:52Z", "error": null, "records_inserted": 7, "records_seen": 7, "source": "defillama", "status": "ok"}, "state": "healthy", "text": "DefiLlama: 7 neue Beobachtungen gespeichert."}, {"at": "2026-08-20T22:19:52Z", "details": {"attempted_at": "2026-08-20T22:19:52Z", "error": null, "records_inserted": 0, "records_seen": 20, "source": "federal_reserve", "status": "ok"}, "state": "neutral", "text": "Federal Reserve gepr\u00fcft \u2013 keine neuen Duplikate gespeichert."}, {"at": "2026-08-20T22:19:52Z", "details": {"attempted_at": "2026-08-20T22:19:52Z", "error": null, "records_inserted": 0, "records_seen": 635, "source": "ethereum_blog", "status": "ok"}, "state": "neutral", "text": "Ethereum Foundation gepr\u00fcft \u2013 keine neuen Duplikate gespeichert."}], "available": true, "dataset": {"days_collected": 0, "experiment_003": "locked", "first_forward_snapshot": "2026-08-20T22:18:22Z", "labels": {"invalid": 201, "mature": 84, "pending": 822}, "maturity": "engineering_only", "maturity_text": "Sehr fr\u00fche Datensammlung", "progress_percent": 0.0, "snapshots": [{"count": 27, "feature_version": "forward_intelligence_v1"}, {"count": 96, "feature_version": "forward_intelligence_v2"}], "target_days": 90, "total_records": 788, "total_snapshots": 123}, "generated_at": "2026-08-20T23:42:20Z", "health": {"collector": "online", "execution": "off", "forward_data": "online", "freqai_research": "ready", "gdelt": "degraded", "live_trading": "off", "risk_engine": "pass"}, "labels": {"counts": {"invalid": 201, "mature": 84, "pending": 822}, "examples": [{"available_at": "2026-08-20T23:30:22Z", "feature_version": "forward_intelligence_v2", "future_return": null, "horizon_seconds": 3600, "label_due_at": "2026-08-21T00:30:22Z", "reason": null, "status": "pending", "symbol": "BTC"}, {"available_at": "2026-08-20T23:30:22Z", "feature_version": "forward_intelligence_v2", "future_return": null, "horizon_seconds": 14400, "label_due_at": "2026-08-21T03:30:22Z", "reason": null, "status": "pending", "symbol": "BTC"}, {"available_at": "2026-08-20T23:30:22Z", "feature_version": "forward_intelligence_v2", "future_return": null, "horizon_seconds": 86400, "label_due_at": "2026-08-21T23:30:22Z", "reason": null, "status": "pending", "symbol": "BTC"}, {"available_at": "2026-08-20T23:30:22Z", "feature_version": "forward_intelligence_v2", "future_return": null, "horizon_seconds": 3600, "label_due_at": "2026-08-21T00:30:22Z", "reason": null, "status": "pending", "symbol": "ETH"}, {"available_at": "2026-08-20T23:30:22Z", "feature_version": "forward_intelligence_v2", "future_return": null, "horizon_seconds": 14400, "label_due_at": "2026-08-21T03:30:22Z", "reason": null, "status": "pending", "symbol": "ETH"}, {"available_at": "2026-08-20T23:30:22Z", "feature_version": "forward_intelligence_v2", "future_return": null, "horizon_seconds": 86400, "label_due_at": "2026-08-21T23:30:22Z", "reason": null, "status": "pending", "symbol": "ETH"}, {"available_at": "2026-08-20T23:30:22Z", "feature_version": "forward_intelligence_v2", "future_return": null, "horizon_seconds": 3600, "label_due_at": "2026-08-21T00:30:22Z", "reason": null, "status": "pending", "symbol": "SOL"}, {"available_at": "2026-08-20T23:30:22Z", "feature_version": "forward_intelligence_v2", "future_return": null, "horizon_seconds": 14400, "label_due_at": "2026-08-21T03:30:22Z", "reason": null, "status": "pending", "symbol": "SOL"}, {"available_at": "2026-08-20T23:30:22Z", "feature_version": "forward_intelligence_v2", "future_return": null, "horizon_seconds": 86400, "label_due_at": "2026-08-21T23:30:22Z", "reason": null, "status": "pending", "symbol": "SOL"}, {"available_at": "2026-08-20T23:30:22Z", "feature_version": "forward_intelligence_v2", "future_return": null, "horizon_seconds": 3600, "label_due_at": "2026-08-21T00:30:22Z", "reason": null, "status": "pending", "symbol": "BTC"}, {"available_at": "2026-08-20T23:30:22Z", "feature_version": "forward_intelligence_v2", "future_return": null, "horizon_seconds": 14400, "label_due_at": "2026-08-21T03:30:22Z", "reason": null, "status": "pending", "symbol": "BTC"}, {"available_at": "2026-08-20T23:30:22Z", "feature_version": "forward_intelligence_v2", "future_return": null, "horizon_seconds": 86400, "label_due_at": "2026-08-21T23:30:22Z", "reason": null, "status": "pending", "symbol": "BTC"}]}, "last_collector_success": "2026-08-20T23:30:23Z", "message": "Das System handelt noch nicht. Es sammelt echte Markt-, DeFi-, Makro- und Projektdaten und wartet, bis sp\u00e4ter fair gepr\u00fcft werden kann, ob diese Informationen n\u00fctzlich sind.", "research": [{"details": {"scope": "historischer Benchmark; keine Execution"}, "explanation": "Mehrere bekannte regelbasierte Strategien wurden historisch getestet. Die gepr\u00fcften Varianten verloren nach Kosten deutlich Geld.", "id": "classic_strategies", "result": "NO_EDGE", "title": "Klassische Trading-Strategien"}, {"details": {"cost_assumptions": {"all_in_threshold": 0.009, "round_trip_fee": 0.007, "round_trip_slippage": 0.002}, "features": ["pair_id", "return_5m", "return_15m", "return_1h", "return_4h", "rolling_volatility_1h", "rolling_volatility_4h", "volume_change_1h", "volume_zscore_1d", "trend_slope_1h", "distance_rolling_mean_4h", "btc_regime_1d", "relative_strength_btc_1h", "relative_strength_basket_1h"], "max_drawdown": -0.33897424937155696, "model": {"class": "LightGBMRegressor", "lightgbm_version": "4.6.0", "params": {"boosting_type": "gbdt", "class_weight": null, "colsample_bytree": 1.0, "deterministic": true, "force_col_wise": true, "importance_type": "split", "learning_rate": 0.04, "max_depth": 5, "min_child_samples": 200, "min_child_weight": 0.001, "min_split_gain": 0.0, "n_estimators": 250, "n_jobs": 2, "num_leaves": 15, "objective": "regression_l2", "random_state": 42, "reg_alpha": 0.0, "reg_lambda": 1.0, "subsample": 1.0, "subsample_for_bin": 200000, "subsample_freq": 0, "verbosity": -1}, "sklearn_version": "1.9.0"}, "scope": "historical market-only research; not OOS; no execution", "splits": [{"end": "2025-07-01T00:00:00+00:00", "name": "train", "start": "2024-08-20T00:00:00+00:00"}, {"end": "2026-01-01T00:00:00+00:00", "name": "validation", "start": "2025-07-01T00:00:00+00:00"}, {"end": "2026-08-20T00:00:00+00:00", "name": "holdout", "start": "2026-01-01T00:00:00+00:00"}], "trades": 48}, "explanation": "Ein Modell nutzte nur Preis-, Trend- und Volumendaten. Auf unbekannten Testdaten zeigte es keinen Vorteil nach Kosten.", "id": "experiment_001", "pnl_usdt": -3.389097422869308, "result": "NO_EDGE", "title": "Experiment 001 \u00b7 Markt-Modell", "total_return": -0.3389097422869308}, {"details": {"cost_assumptions": {"all_in_threshold": 0.010000000000000002, "round_trip_fee": 0.007, "round_trip_slippage": 0.002, "safety_margin": 0.001}, "features": ["pair_id", "return_5m", "return_15m", "return_1h", "return_4h", "rolling_volatility_1h", "rolling_volatility_4h", "volume_change_1h", "volume_zscore_1d", "trend_slope_1h", "distance_rolling_mean_4h", "btc_regime_1d", "relative_strength_btc_1h", "relative_strength_basket_1h"], "max_drawdown": -0.2560940402628693, "model": {"class": "LightGBMClassifier", "lightgbm_version": "4.6.0", "params": {"boosting_type": "gbdt", "class_weight": null, "colsample_bytree": 1.0, "deterministic": true, "force_col_wise": true, "importance_type": "split", "learning_rate": 0.04, "max_depth": 5, "min_child_samples": 200, "min_child_weight": 0.001, "min_split_gain": 0.0, "n_estimators": 250, "n_jobs": 2, "num_leaves": 15, "objective": "binary", "random_state": 42, "reg_alpha": 0.0, "reg_lambda": 1.0, "subsample": 1.0, "subsample_for_bin": 200000, "subsample_freq": 0, "verbosity": -1}, "sklearn_version": "1.9.0"}, "scope": "historical market-only classification; not OOS; no execution", "splits": [{"end": "2025-07-01T00:00:00+00:00", "name": "train", "purge": "4h target availability", "start": "2024-08-20T00:00:00+00:00"}, {"end": "2026-01-01T00:00:00+00:00", "name": "validation", "purge": "4h target availability", "start": "2025-07-01T00:00:00+00:00"}, {"end": "2026-08-20T00:00:00+00:00", "name": "holdout", "purge": "4h target availability", "start": "2026-01-01T00:00:00+00:00"}], "trades": 31}, "explanation": "Auch die kostenbewusste Variante zeigte nach Geb\u00fchren keinen belastbaren Vorteil.", "id": "experiment_002", "pnl_usdt": -2.4283658917639883, "result": "NO_EDGE", "title": "Experiment 002 \u00b7 Kostenbewusstes ML", "total_return": -0.24283658917639883}], "sources": [{"age_seconds": 718, "description": "Misst grob, wie \u00e4ngstlich oder gierig der Kryptomarkt gerade ist.", "details": {"consecutive_failures": 0, "last_attempt_at": "2026-08-20T23:30:22Z", "last_error": null, "last_raw_sha256": "26cad93eea253e50afd558ecc3ec54ec0f6afa6531d3034853e20b6dfa3f675a", "published_at": "2026-08-20T00:00:00Z", "retrieved_at": "2026-08-20T21:09:56Z", "url": "https://api.alternative.me/fng/?limit=1\u0026format=json"}, "id": "fear_greed", "last_success_at": "2026-08-20T23:30:22Z", "name": "Fear \u0026 Greed", "new_records_last_run": 0, "status": "healthy", "status_text": "Funktioniert", "total_records": 1}, {"age_seconds": 718, "description": "Zeigt Aktivit\u00e4t und Kapital im DeFi- und Blockchain-\u00d6kosystem.", "details": {"consecutive_failures": 0, "last_attempt_at": "2026-08-20T23:30:22Z", "last_error": null, "last_raw_sha256": "92b9a0f82124d02c4733e4c221bd8ac4273ab74381935a78e7933d1b0c3e1d4a", "published_at": null, "retrieved_at": "2026-08-20T23:30:22Z", "url": "https://api.llama.fi/v2/chains"}, "id": "defillama", "last_success_at": "2026-08-20T23:30:22Z", "name": "DefiLlama", "new_records_last_run": 7, "status": "healthy", "status_text": "Funktioniert", "total_records": 112}, {"age_seconds": 718, "description": "Offizielle Meldungen der US-Notenbank. Geldpolitik kann M\u00e4rkte stark beeinflussen.", "details": {"consecutive_failures": 0, "last_attempt_at": "2026-08-20T23:30:22Z", "last_error": null, "last_raw_sha256": "4e64e5348f6a4f76ba14f7ed3392fc228ffd46ab44728552df774e229b5a7a5f", "published_at": "2026-07-07T19:00:00Z", "retrieved_at": "2026-08-20T22:02:27Z", "url": "https://www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/pressreleases/bcreg20260707a.htm"}, "id": "federal_reserve", "last_success_at": "2026-08-20T23:30:22Z", "name": "Federal Reserve", "new_records_last_run": 0, "status": "healthy", "status_text": "Funktioniert", "total_records": 20}, {"age_seconds": 717, "description": "Offizielle Ethereum-Projektmeldungen.", "details": {"consecutive_failures": 0, "last_attempt_at": "2026-08-20T23:30:23Z", "last_error": null, "last_raw_sha256": "8d72ee63b3348b8ea83ece0b158dc67056a4e155216725c71094fab8bc14be46", "published_at": "2013-12-31T18:00:37Z", "retrieved_at": "2026-08-20T22:15:42Z", "url": "https://blog.ethereum.org/en/2013/12/31/bootstrapping-a-decentralized-autonomous-corporation-part-i"}, "id": "ethereum_blog", "last_success_at": "2026-08-20T23:30:23Z", "name": "Ethereum Foundation", "new_records_last_run": 0, "status": "healthy", "status_text": "Funktioniert", "total_records": 635}, {"age_seconds": 717, "description": "Offizielle Solana-Projektmeldungen.", "details": {"consecutive_failures": 0, "last_attempt_at": "2026-08-20T23:30:23Z", "last_error": null, "last_raw_sha256": "a5da58c6b011de253c938bd353e915d98a39b2ca8ba36573ff8ad730611dd71e", "published_at": "2026-07-06T06:00:00Z", "retrieved_at": "2026-08-20T22:15:42Z", "url": "https://solana.com/news/solana-ecosystem-roundup-june-2026"}, "id": "solana_blog", "last_success_at": "2026-08-20T23:30:23Z", "name": "Solana", "new_records_last_run": 0, "status": "healthy", "status_text": "Funktioniert", "total_records": 20}, {"age_seconds": 719, "description": "Speichert ab jetzt reale BTC-, ETH- und SOL-Preise f\u00fcr sp\u00e4tere faire Vergleiche.", "details": {"last_raw_sha256": "b5512487ec94b34242df04688d85845e9c45c22c01c21a478ed3d77d377638a6", "provider": "CoinGecko public API"}, "id": "coingecko_market", "last_success_at": "2026-08-20T23:30:21Z", "name": "CoinGecko Forward Prices", "new_records_last_run": null, "status": "healthy", "status_text": "Funktioniert", "total_records": 24}, {"age_seconds": null, "description": "\u00d6ffentliche Nachrichtenquelle. Das System funktioniert auch weiter, wenn sie eingeschr\u00e4nkt ist.", "details": {"consecutive_failures": 2, "last_attempt_at": "2026-08-20T21:11:23Z", "last_error": "RuntimeError: HTTP 429 rate limited: https://api.gdeltproject.org/api/v2/doc/doc?query=%28bitcoin+OR+ethereum+OR+cryptocurrency%29\u0026mode=artlist\u0026maxrecords=10\u0026format=json\u0026sort=datedesc", "last_raw_sha256": null, "published_at": null, "retrieved_at": null, "url": null}, "id": "gdelt", "last_success_at": null, "name": "GDELT", "new_records_last_run": 0, "status": "degraded", "status_text": "Derzeit eingeschr\u00e4nkt", "total_records": 0}]}